Bakers supply considered presenting a new line of the Silikonplätzchenblätter. After the months of the work personnel of the sales, marketing, technology, bookkeeping, enterprises and MIS with including, the financial leader seized the information, which accepts it/a committee recommendation regarding the CEO and regarding the board form must. Based on data it made available evaluated the project under a sentence of three film scripts from an advising economist. The probability and the expected present value (NPV) for each film script are given in the following table: Table 1 Economically Film script probability expected NPV Best legal matter 25% $740.000 Starting situation 50% 360.000 Worst case 25% - 270.000